While Parish’s seat may at least seem safe to the Tories, the recent run-off election came as a shock. The following is a summary of the two ballots that will follow – and the eight that have already taken place since the last general election.
Tiverton and Honiton
The Conservatives have held the Devon headquarters since its inception in 1997, but are expected to face a struggle to cling to it following Paris’s resignation. While Labor finished second in 2019, the Liberal Democrats are positive about their chances. In the midst of talking about an informal plan for neither side to exert too much effort where the other is in a better position to overthrow an established Tory executive, the Liberal Democrats believe they could end up being the main challenger. A date has not yet been set for a run-off election.
Wakefield
One of the seats that the Conservatives were most proud to grab during their raid on the so-called red wall in 2019, they now fear will lose before the end of the parliamentary term. Imran Ahmad Khan resigned after being convicted of sexually assaulting a 15-year-old boy in April, and was later confronted by the Guardian on several charges. Repeat elections are expected in June.
North Shropshire: Lib Dem profit from the Conservatives
One of the biggest upheavals in recent elections and one of the most closely linked to the personal failures of Boris Johnson at No. 10. Liberal Democratic nominee Ellen Morgan fell 34% to a supposedly safe Tory seat in December after The prime minister’s disastrous attempt to prevent Owen Patterson from facing the consequences of a “blatant” breach of lobby rules ended with the resignation of the former minister. Paterson had won an almost 23,000 majority in 2019. Morgan emerged triumphant with its own 6,000 majority.
Chesham and Amersham: Lib Dem gain from the Conservatives
Another victory for the Liberal Democrats over the Conservatives in one of their safest seats – this time in Buckinghamshire. Sarah Green garnered a majority of more than 8,000 votes as she managed a swing of 25 percentage points to win last June – foretelling the Lib Dems victory in Shropshire six months later. The contest was announced after the cancerous death of local MP Cheryl Gillan, who has represented the constituency since 1992 and held it in 2019 with a majority of 16,223.
Hartlepool: Conservative profit from Labor
The Conservatives are not the only party that saw a seat they may have hoped to deprive during this parliament. A year ago, the people of Hartlepool woke up in a Tory constituency for the first time in more than 50 years after the victory of Jill Mortimer. While distrust of Johnson has been identified as one of the issues behind the Tories’ problems, Labor officials said the prime minister’s popularity had made their job uphill in this North East England election, which is being hastened by Mike’s resignation. Hill amid complaints of misconduct. An employment court later ruled that he had sexually assaulted and harassed a member of parliament.
Airdrie and Shotts: SNP grip
The Labor Party may have gained ground following the resignation of Neil Gray to run for Scotland in the overlapping Hollyrod constituency, but Anum Caesar-Javed eventually took over the SNP seat in the West. In this way, the teacher of modern studies became only the second Muslim Member of Scotland. He told BBC Scotland he hoped to be a role model for others from different backgrounds and vowed to fight for Scottish independence.
Old Bexley and Sidcup: Conservative Grip
In Shropshire last December, the Conservatives paid the price for what Johnson admitted was his “absolute mistake” in trying to replace the system that found Patterson breaking the rules with a system dominated by his own party. But they had escaped such reproach in the south-east London suburb of Old Bexley and Sidcup two weeks earlier. Louis Frances held the safe haven in a run-off election caused by the death from lung cancer of former Cabinet Secretary James Brockenshair – albeit by a narrow majority in a smaller turnout.
Batley and Spen: Labor hold
Kim Leadbeater, the sister of slain MP Jo Cox, retained Labor after the resignation of her party colleague Tracy Brabin when she was elected mayor of West Yorkshire. Anger over the revelation that former Health Secretary Matt Hancock had violated his government’s social’s distancing rules, as well as a concerted effort to keep George Galloway out of power after being accused of divisiveness, have been identified as his main drivers. vote.
Birmingham Erdington: Labor grip
The election of Paulette Hamilton to the West Midlands headquarters in March this year followed the sudden death of former shadow minister Jack Dromey, who has held the seat since 2010. Hamilton, a former nurse who became Birmingham’s first black MP, rose the share of Labor votes in 2019. He said that the result showed that “by listening to what the public tells us and acting accordingly”, Labor could ensure greater success.
Southend West: Tory holding
Anna Firth ran the Conservative constituency of Essex in February in a re-election that followed the assassination of MP David Ames by an Islamist terrorist. He won with 86% of the vote after Labor, the Liberal Democrats and other dominant political parties chose not to run for office. Speaking after her victory speech, he praised Amess’s widow, adding that she acknowledged it was a “sad and painful day” for his family.
